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Daily Forex Analysis and Predictions for April 23, 2010


EUR/USD
From around around 1.3280, it might have potentially to go up to around 1.3350 or may be 1.34. Looking for the best price to enter Buy.
(Current Price: 1.3306)

GBP/USD
From around 1.5350, it might have potentially to go up to around 1.54 or may be 1.55. Looking for the best price to enter Buy.
(Current Price: 1.5369)

AUD/USD
It is more likely to go down to around 0.9240 or lower, and after that, it might have potentially to go up to around 0.93.
(Current Price: 0.9264)

USD/JPY
It is more likely to go up to around 93.50, and after that, it might have potentially to go down to around 93.
(Current Price: 93.25)

USD/CHF
It is more likely to go up to around 1.0790, and after that, it might have potentially to go down to around 1.07.
(Current Price: 1.0774)

Don’t be too late, and always check the posting time/update.

FOREX NEWS . Beware from the today news: (GMT+7 / Indonesia – Jakarta Time)
(see your time conversion at www.timeanddate.com)
08:30 AUD
09:50 AUD
13:45 EUR
15:00 EUR
15:30 GBP
16:00 EUR
19:30 USD
21:00 USD
(beware of the news revision or breaking news)


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Comments

mantap analisanya pak james
btw bung panjul,geprak,sama ari “gajah” kok ga pernah nongol yaaa

Terima kasih 🙂

berani juga ramalannya trend Up…kalau bener salut!….heu.heu..heu…saudara kembar saya mana nih?

Apapun analisanya, jangan lupa bahwa yang terpenting adalah Risk Management ya

bung GS saya mo tanya handphone apa dan tipenya berapa sich yang bisa bwt maen forex?
maklum newbie…thanks

Dianjurkan pakai PDA yang bersistem operating Windows Mobile, contohnya merk HTC, Samsung

hati2 yang buy GU resistance di 1.5375, kalau tembus bisa ke 1.5400.

Buy AUDCAD 0.9282 TP 0.9342 SL 0.9175

Oee.. kemana bang lama ga’ nongol
GU gmn spy dpt 60 pips today?

baru pulang dari luar kota survei kerjaan,,mantap bro 60 pips untuk GUnya

Waduh, saya terlanjur op sell GU target saya 1.5330.
Jadi deg degan nih…:-(

sama dunks….heheheee.
gpp, namanya juga forex. chart-nya naik turun mirip ingus.
salam

chartnya mirip ingus ya master,hehehe…..,kalau para senior mu OP sell atau Buy akhirnya profit juga.karna dah tahu kapan OP kapan di cut los.pagi” dah pada keluar nih para master.hehe…

maaf brow, aku bukan master tpi newbie yg baru belajar.
sharing yuuks… kalo mau OP, aku selalu nunggu berita ekonomi keluar + lihat trend dari software babypips1 (thanks banyak master babypips…).
karena pada dasarnya aku lebih percaya news/fakta daripada prediksi.
salam

The Euro touched a new low for the year, taking out the late March bottom at 1.3267. Although the break to 1.3257 was met with profit-taking and bottom picking, the fundamentals are still suggesting that this pair has a long way to go before support is established.
By all reports, Greece continues to move closer to sovereign debt default. It looks as if the bailout from the EU/IMF proposed earlier in the month will not be enough to meet Greece’s financial obligations. The cost to finance the debt is sky-rocketing so unless there is a plan in the works to rewrite Greece’s financial obligations it looks as if it has no choice but to default. Contagion is another concern for investors. As the Greek financial situation worsens, so do the financial problems in Portugal and Spain.
The spread between Greece Bonds and German Bunds continues to be the best indication that there is risk of default. Yesterday this spread traded over 500 basis points. On Thursday, the Dollar rose against the Euro despite on-going talks to activate the loan agreement between Greece and the International Monetary Fund. Short-traders believe there is not enough money in this agreement to help Greece over the long-run.
After a healthy three-day rally, the GBP USD closed lower following the release of a worse than expected U.K. retail sales report. March retail sales showed an increase of 0.4%. The increase was less than economist estimates of 0.6%. Traders reacted by selling the British Pound as the report indicated the possibility of slower growth in the economy.
Earlier in the week, the British Pound rose after the government reported higher than expected consumer inflation. This news triggered a rally in the Sterling, but gains were limited on election concerns. Recent polls are showing the May 6th election may result in no party have a significant majority. This could lead to a hung parliament meaning legislation to cut the U.K. deficit may be limited.
Overnight Fitch Ratings issued a statement which could weigh on the Japanese Yen over the near-term. In commenting on the level of Japanese debt, Fitch said the Japanese government “is one of the most indebted in the world.” It further added “In absence of sustained economic recovery and fiscal consolidation, government debt will continue to rise, placing downwards pressure on sovereign credit and ratings over the medium term.”
The initial reaction by traders drove the USD JPY to 93.34, but weakening demand for higher yielding assets helped the Japanese Yen recover as investors sought safety in lower yielding assets. A late session turnaround in U.S. equity markets helped drive down demand for lower yielding currencies, triggering a surge in the USD JPY. The rally helped take out earlier resistance at a 50% level at 93.18, sending this pair to the .618 level at 93.55.
The USD CAD confirmed Wednesday’s closing price reversal bottom at .9929. There was very little follow-through to the upside however, as a late session surge in demand for higher risk assets helped to limit gains.
The Euro touched a new low for the year, taking out the late March bottom at 1.3267. Although the break to 1.3257 was met with profit-taking and bottom picking, the fundamentals are still suggesting that this pair has a long way to go before support is established.
By all reports, Greece continues to move closer to sovereign debt default. It looks as if the bailout from the EU/IMF proposed earlier in the month will not be enough to meet Greece’s financial obligations. The cost to finance the debt is sky-rocketing so unless there is a plan in the works to rewrite Greece’s financial obligations it looks as if it has no choice but to default. Contagion is another concern for investors. As the Greek financial situation worsens, so do the financial problems in Portugal and Spain.
The spread between Greece Bonds and German Bunds continues to be the best indication that there is risk of default. Yesterday this spread traded over 500 basis points. On Thursday, the Dollar rose against the Euro despite on-going talks to activate the loan agreement between Greece and the International Monetary Fund. Short-traders believe there is not enough money in this agreement to help Greece over the long-run.
After a healthy three-day rally, the GBP USD closed lower following the release of a worse than expected U.K. retail sales report. March retail sales showed an increase of 0.4%. The increase was less than economist estimates of 0.6%. Traders reacted by selling the British Pound as the report indicated the possibility of slower growth in the economy.
Earlier in the week, the British Pound rose after the government reported higher than expected consumer inflation. This news triggered a rally in the Sterling, but gains were limited on election concerns. Recent polls are showing the May 6th election may result in no party have a significant majority. This could lead to a hung parliament meaning legislation to cut the U.K. deficit may be limited.
Overnight Fitch Ratings issued a statement which could weigh on the Japanese Yen over the near-term. In commenting on the level of Japanese debt, Fitch said the Japanese government “is one of the most indebted in the world.” It further added “In absence of sustained economic recovery and fiscal consolidation, government debt will continue to rise, placing downwards pressure on sovereign credit and ratings over the medium term.”
The initial reaction by traders drove the USD JPY to 93.34, but weakening demand for higher yielding assets helped the Japanese Yen recover as investors sought safety in lower yielding assets. A late session turnaround in U.S. equity markets helped drive down demand for lower yielding currencies, triggering a surge in the USD JPY. The rally helped take out earlier resistance at a 50% level at 93.18, sending this pair to the .618 level at 93.55.
The USD CAD confirmed Wednesday’s closing price reversal bottom at .9929. There was very little follow-through to the upside however, as a late session surge in demand for higher risk assets helped to limit gains.
On Wednesday, the USD CAD hit a new 22-month low but there was very little follow-through to the downside. This is usually an indication of an oversold market. Technically, the closing price reversal bottom indicates an impending short-covering rally which could send this pair up to 1.0072 to 1.0106. It looks as if increased demand for higher yielding assets will dictate the short-term direction of this pair. The longer-term outlook is for the Canadian Dollar to appreciate against the U.S. Dollar due to a better economy and higher interest rates.
The AUD USD traded lower early in the session after Wednesday’s rally failed to attract fresh buying, but a late session rally in U.S. equity markets helped fuel a short-covering rally. The charts are indicating the possibility of a second lower top at .9337. Downside pressure is building which could drive this market into a support cluster at .9200 to .9191.
Fundamentally traders are confused about the next move by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Earlier in the month, a report showing that mortgage approvals had fallen pressured the Aussie as it indicated that the RBA would hold rates steady at its next meeting in May. Earlier this week however, the RBA minutes indicated the possibility of a rate hike because of concerns about inflation. With these two reports neutralizing each other, traders may be selling the Australian Dollar on the thought that China was reading to revalue the Yuan.
Continue to look for a choppy two-sided trade until traders get a clear picture of the RBA’s upcoming interest rate decision, China decides on the revaluation of the Yuan or global equity markets take off to the upside.
The NZD USD traded in a tight range and finished slightly better. .7124 continues to repel rallies. A breakout over this price will be a strong indication that the Kiwi is going to move higher. A break through .7052 could trigger a sharp break.
Traders aren’t sure which direction the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will take at its next meeting. The economy doesn’t seem to be strong enough to begin hiking rates, but the RBNZ may be feeling pressure to increase interest rates because of the recent hikes by Australia and the anticipated hike by the Bank of Canada in June.
On Wednesday, the USD CAD hit a new 22-month low but there was very little follow-through to the downside. This is usually an indication of an oversold market. Technically, the closing price reversal bottom indicates an impending short-covering rally which could send this pair up to 1.0072 to 1.0106. It looks as if increased demand for higher yielding assets will dictate the short-term direction of this pair. The longer-term outlook is for the Canadian Dollar to appreciate against the U.S. Dollar due to a better economy and higher interest rates.
The AUD USD traded lower early in the session after Wednesday’s rally failed to attract fresh buying, but a late session rally in U.S. equity markets helped fuel a short-covering rally. The charts are indicating the possibility of a second lower top at .9337. Downside pressure is building which could drive this market into a support cluster at .9200 to .9191.
Fundamentally traders are confused about the next move by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Earlier in the month, a report showing that mortgage approvals had fallen pressured the Aussie as it indicated that the RBA would hold rates steady at its next meeting in May. Earlier this week however, the RBA minutes indicated the possibility of a rate hike because of concerns about inflation. With these two reports neutralizing each other, traders may be selling the Australian Dollar on the thought that China was reading to revalue the Yuan.
Continue to look for a choppy two-sided trade until traders get a clear picture of the RBA’s upcoming interest rate decision, China decides on the revaluation of the Yuan or global equity markets take off to the upside.
The NZD USD traded in a tight range and finished slightly better. .7124 continues to repel rallies. A breakout over this price will be a strong indication that the Kiwi is going to move higher. A break through .7052 could trigger a sharp break.
Traders aren’t sure which direction the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will take at its next meeting. The economy doesn’t seem to be strong enough to begin hiking rates, but the RBNZ may be feeling pressure to increase interest rates because of the recent hikes by Australia and the anticipated hike by the Bank of Canada in June.

sama saya juga lagi belajar,ya kita sambil lihat reperensi dari para master yang sudah lama dan banyak berpengalaman di dunia forex.

yuuk, maju terus pantang mundur.
thanks banyak bung mill.

Wow…cool banget akhirnya kena TP juga nih posisi sell ane.
Salam profit ya buat semua nya.
GBU

yooo… betul..betul…betul…

Salam Profit,
EU mulai hari ini sepertinya akan start terbang lagi kalo melihat bahwa semalam sudah mencapai support – MOMENTUM FADES or kalau keblabasen akan ke support selanjutnya yaitu di 1.3057.

Pesan mbah Ros:
1. Jangan takut or ragu2 ambil keputusan open position.
2. Jangan serakah, perhitungkan margin n untuk EU margin harus mampu menahan sekitar 500 pips red position,

Yang jelas prediksi suhu Babys yang mak Nyus di tunggu.

Adhem Ayem Ae Ker.
-TOGETHER WE WIN-

klo lihat chart sekarang, mungkinkah EU akan mencapai 1.3057 spt analisa mbah Rojo Koyo?

bung babypips mana yah?

Maksud ayas,
Untuk EU yang daily spreadnya 80-160 pips rata2, Spread 500pips itu bisa dicapai dalam waktu 7 calendar days, jadi kalau risk management bagus or tidak serakah walaupun floating merah 500 pips tidak di cut loss tidak masalah. di close hanya jika tp ijo saja, jadi mau naik or turun slalu profit cuman bedanya di waktu doang.

Adhem Ayem Ae Ker.
-TOGETHER WE WIN-

waduh senengnya,para master sdh nimbrung lg…
ngikut bung GS aja :
Looking for the best price to enter BUY
Looking for the best price to enter SELL (limit)

BUY Limit GU at 1.5249 aje

bung iwan mau tanya kalo buy limit itu seperti apa?

tks

beli di bawah harga sekarang, (pertimbangan analisa fundamental [news] & teknikal [chart]).
Lbh baik pelajari dulu bgmn sistem kerja setiap indikator & temukan gaya trading anda. Loss & Profit itu lumrah, tp kalo ndak ada dasarnya kata para master itu GAMBLING namanya, he hee…

terima kasih atas penjelasannya..

-salam-

mas iwan, saya boleh jawab yach…
mas lir, buy limit itu kalo anda ingin membeli di bawah harga running pake limit buy, kalo anda ingin menjual di atas harga running pake limit sell,, jadi beginin jikalau anda membuka op buy di 1.5259 lalu target 1.5269 dan harga naik maka anda dapat 10 pips. Tetapi jika anda membuka buy limit di 1.5259 dan harga sekarang berada di 1.5259 lalu target 1.5269 dan ternyata limit buy anda tersentuh lalu harga naik menyentuh target anda maka anda dapat 20 pips. Hal ini berfungsi untuk mengambil keuntungan yang lebih.

oo gitu.. bung kamil

suwun ya info nya
seperti petunjuk bung iwan GU cocok pake buy limit utk kondisi skrg, tp kyknya sdh mulai naik yaa..

-salam profit-

Utk GU bs ambil BUY di 1.5260, tapi utk EU kayaknya masih blm ada tanda2 BUY, MAnya masih curam ke bawah semua, kaya’nya bisa nyentuh ke 1.3200. Jd takut open EU

Heuheu…lumayan lah kemaren dapet 195 pips.

Berdoa dulu dong, slamat pagi semua & salut juga neih ntuk Master GS, prediksinya slalu Muncul lebih Pagi sekarangmah
jadi forum bisa ramai lagi asal jgn ada peperangan kayak di PRIOK heheee
Trimakasih master GS

Forum jadi rame lagi kan berkat bang Tj…
Hidup Tj….! 😀

Iyah neih si GU lagi bersahabat, Nunggu kira2 20Pip an lagi deh mudahan2 tembus

wah selamat pagi juga bung hary

sd close kah sell GU ya ?

mantaff ya td malam lumyan turun GU nya

he he

-salam-

klo saya cuma koar-koar aja kaya ayam jantan nyari betina, soale forumnya slalu sedikit koment, kan makin banyak komen makin banyak pula referensinya heheee

eeeh ternyata salah nempatin replynya punten aah (maaf) hehee

gimana tj.hary.. yg sell uda di close kah??
syukur d akhirnya punya sy yg sell uda terclose profit 🙂
+salam profit+

Alhamdulillah nih yg Loos hari rabu 100P sdah lunas + bonusnya walau kena swapnya juga gede,klo yg Sell di 1.5417 dah diklos tinggal yg sell di 1.5468 nih blom diklos tunggu dulu news ajah klo memungkinkan sampai senin.
slamat profit Ok

hari ini mau sell pa buy mbak tasia

saat ini si sy buy.

selamat pagi bung kaist,gu limit buy yah

1.5350 kayaknya bs jual, tp 30

GU, pasang buy stop di 1.5382 TP di 1.5384. Mantaps!!!

master…2 pips ??

iya neh, dikk qq mo nyaingin mr only 60_pips, jadi MASTER 2_PIPS.
Itu mah orang BKKBN, cukup 2 pips (anak) saja, he eh…
Canda yaa.

Haha…

Haha… iyah master 2 pips… Mantabs!!!!

Buy USDCAD 1.0025 tp 1.0085 sl 0.9925
EU berpeluang turun ke 1.3148
GU berpeluang turun ke 1.5230

Saya udah sell GU at 1.5344, tp 1.5264. Mudahan berhasil..amin.

SEEIP deh skarangmah pagi2 sdah mulai kliatan rame lagi neih forumteh perbedaan BUY/SELL itu harus ada masa harus sma ndak mungkin kan setuju tidak kawan semua
aksi damai jgn ikutan PRIOK LIEUR AAH mana yg benar heheee

Setuju master, yang penting trader indo pada profit semua.hehehe…..

SELL AUDJPY 85.80 tp 85.20 sl 86.60

tess

SELL AUDJPY 85.80 tp 85.20 sl 86.60
SUKSES

Woooiiii…..GU….Hanya lari di tempat,para master….mau ke mana ini …GU……Bingung….?????????

tdk apa2 lari ditempat,jadinya yg sell atau yg buy dapet semua,berbeda tapi tetep satu jua,profit semua euy,hehehe,iya ndak mbak tasia?

slamat magrig menjelang isya tuk umat islam & slamat sore menjelang malam sobat trader semua, Gimana neih klihatannya sdah suit2 & senyum2 pada profit yaah, apakah ada yg siap bagadang sambil nunggu news berikutnya ?, saya siap nemenin deh

WAAH ternyata neih si GU teh masih melamun yaah, hrs hati2 klo dah pola ginimah bahaya stoch di H1 posisinya ndak karuan kayanya nunggu NEWS baru loncat2an mengairahkan hihii
Coba parasobat kasih aku masukannya dong biar Asik & Nikmat nunggangin GU nya heheeeheeee

ayo Siap2 para pemburu dollar masih ada yg berminat ?

Oke klo gitu smoga GU DOWN menembus area 1.5247 an hingga hari Senin

lumayan usdcad close 1.0060 OP dini hari baru close cukup 50 pips alias $ 500

so pasti bro tj. klo hari jumat gini sy justru lembur ntuk memburu dollar, ni siapa yg mau ngikut sell GU mudah2an PROFIT

untuk simpanan minggu depan
menurut Indi Anak Gaul
sell GU 1.5310 tp 1.5250 sl 1.5375

Berburu Dolar!!! siapa tukut sell.
terlanjur sell GU & GJ dari subuh,
yg gu profit, yg gj minus,
ya pantengin aja sampai senin.
mudah2an GJ turun, biar gu ikut turun juga,
jadi keduanya profit.

Alamaaaak…
Mari kita ucapkan TERIMA KASIH yg sebesar2nya kpd Bung GS yg tlah menyediakan forum ini, walau sederhana tp sangat bermanfaat utk diskusi saling kejar profit (dan juga LOSS) Hee heee…
DO’A dulu sblm bobo’ agar minggu depan bukamata IJO ROYO ROYO,

mangkanya saya bilang kemaren juga berani banget GS meramal BUY sampai 1.54 bahkan 1.55, padahal trend sedeng DOWN. Padahal melawan trend sangat diharamkan.

tapi nyatanya bung GS memang hebat , EU dan GU benar2 tembus keatas 90% sesuai prediksinya.

Panen ijo royo2 🙂
Thank you buat GS dan para master yang lain juga !

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