Daily Forex Analysis and Prediction for June 5, 2009

Mungkin Bapak entrynya terkena berita PM Inggris tersebut ?
karena jika order di saat pagi atau siang di saat kemarin tsb akan profit

Itu sudah waktu WIB (atau Jakarta)

Info yang terpenting adalah berita

ikuti prediksi kami. Dan waspada terhadap hasil reportnya nanti

Kami sarankan menunggu hingga NFP, karena biasanya sebelum NFP, market akan flat dahulu, dan perkiraannya akan bergejolak pada waktu nanti sore . Prediksi kami US masih buruk

Kemungkinan bisa Pak, karena kan tidak beda jauh 🙂

Untuk JPY di NFP nanti juga berpengaruh . Kami belum bisa memberikan comment nanti akan naik atau turun di saat NFP tersebut. Lebih baik menunggu hasilnya saja bagaimana 🙂

Terima kasih, salam sukses 🙂

Boleh, tapi jangan lupa gunakan trailing stop juga ya, dan waspada dengan berita nanti malam NFP jam 19:30 WIB

coba kita lihat nanti di berita NFP ya, karena bergantung pada report di berita tersebut. Ini berita yang penting lo 🙂

Kami sarankan sebaiknya menunggu hasil report dari Non Farm Payroll nanti malam. Karena susah untuk diprediksikan jika belum keluar reportnya

yup, itu lebih baik

iya karena ada rumor tentang PM UK, silahkan disimak beritanya di comment yang kami post kemarin 🙂

tetap waspada di berita2 ya, terutama nanti di Non Farm Payroll juga

Kalau scalping biasanya di saat tengah malam sampai pagi hari WIB, di saat pasar sedang sepi

Scalping itu order dengan Liquid / TP kecil2 (biasanya 5-10 pips) dan secara berulang2 / bertubi2.

iya, tetapi hati2 kadang analisa bisa berubah selepas dari berita NFP nanti malam, itu berpengaruh sekali nanti. Tergantung report NFP nya

Utk G/U, seperti yang telah kami tulis, sebelum ia naik, maka G/U akan turun dahulu

Tetapi yg terpenting adalah berita nanti malam ttg NFP, itu harus lebih hati2 ya

Tidak bisa dilihat dari sana, harus dilihat dari hasil beritanya nanti bagaimana laporannya

Ikuti laporan beritanya NFP nanti, bisa ditunggu setelah NFP keluar, atau ikuti prediksi kami, Jangan lupa pasang SL dan Risk Management

Perkiraan kami JPY akan naik, tetapi kami sarankan tunggu dari hasil NFP

NFP = Non Farm Payroll

bisa dilihat di http://www.beritaforex.com di TV Bloombergnya

semua sama high impact

jam 7:30 malam seperti yang telah ditulis di prediksi kami

NFP kalau bagus, akan mendongkrak USD untuk menguat, tetapi kalau Unemployment Rate naik maka USD akan melemah, bila berbenturan maka pasar akan naik drastis dan turun drastis, tetapi sekali lagi, itu tidak bisa dibuat patokan, yang terpenting adalah ISI BERITANYA. Dan itu harus disimak di TV seperti di TV Bloomberg di http://www.beritaforex.com

UJ dan EU akan berlawanan, tetapi kembali lagi ke isi beritanya . Tidak bisa hanya dari report hasilnya saja. Harus dilihat lagi isi beritanya, karena banyak diomongkan ttg ekonomi di kedepannya, dan itu harus disimak di TV, seperti di Bloomberg, CNBC dan sejenisnya

Berita Penting hari ini yang menggerakkan market:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090605/ap_on_bi_ge/world_markets;_ylt=AkQKIr9XrwLME2VO1d_D5m2yBhIF;_ylu=X3oDMTJlajRvcWxhBGFzc2V0A2FwLzIwMDkwNjA1L3dvcmxkX21hcmtldHMEY3BvcwMyBHBvcwM2BHNlYwN5bl90b3Bfc3RvcnkEc2xrA3dvcmxkbWFya2V0cw–

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/06/business/economy/06jobs.html?hp

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(RTTNews) – Employment fell by much less than expected in the month of May, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday, although the unemployment rate rose more than expected to reach a new twenty-five year high.

The report showed that non-farm payroll employment fell by 345,000 jobs in May following a revised decrease of 504,000 jobs in April. Economists had expected a decrease of about 520,000 jobs compared to the loss of 539,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

While the manufacturing sector continued to experience steep job losses, losing 156,000 jobs in May, the report showed a moderation in the pace of job losses in construction and several service-providing industries.

An increase of 44,000 education and health service jobs also helped to limit the size of the drop in jobs. The leisure and hospitality industry also added 3,000 jobs.

At the same time, the Labor Department said that the unemployment rate jumped to 9.4 percent in May from 8.9 percent in April. With the increase, the unemployment rate came in above economist estimates of 9.2 percent and rose to its highest level since August of 1983.

The bigger than expected increase in the unemployment rate was partly due to an increase in the size of the labor force, which increased by 350,000 in May.

Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has risen by 7.0 million and the unemployment rate has grown by 4.5 percentage points, the Labor Department said.

While employment data is generally seen as a lagging indicator of the strength of the economy, perceptions about the labor market can have a significant impact on consumer confidence.

The Labor Department released a separate report on Thursday showing that initial jobless claims fell to 621,000 in the week ended May 30th from the previous week’s revised figure of 625,000.

The report also showed that continuing claims fell to 6.735 million in the week ended May 23rd from the preceding week’s revised level of 6.750 million. The modest decrease broke a recent streak of record highs and marked the first decrease since the week ended January 3rd.

Bagi yang sudah Profit tadi, jangan OP lagi, 1 hari cukup 1x trade saja ya

Happy Weekend ! 🙂

Sesudah ini istirahat dahulu, nikmati malam minggu ya

tunggu analisa besok senin lagi ok

The May employment report showed a much better than anticipated -345K decline in nonfarm payrolls, with the prior two months being revised up by a net +82K to boot. The details of the report were encouraging as job shedding decelerated across most major sectors. Private employment losses eased to -338K from -596K the prior month and a near -750K loss in January. Services jumped to -120K from -230K while business services increased to -51K from -111K. Education and health returned to the pre-crisis trend and printed a booming +44K increase after averaging a meager +15K in over the prior three months. The fact that the unemployment rate jumped to 9.4% from 8.9% is ignored as a “baked in the cake” event as everyone expects this number to breach 10.0% in the near future. The pace of employment declines is what matters and other indicators buried in this report, along with other recent statistics, suggest the worst of the declines are behind us.

The most important leading indicators within the May employment report have clearly carved out a bottom. Improvements in aggregate employee hours and temporary employment suggest a turn is in the works. The three-month annual rate for aggregate hours was steady at -8.6% and has been on an upward trend since bottoming in January at -9.0%. Hours lead bodies in the employment cycle and the slowing here suggests employers are now nearing the limit for layoffs. Temporary employment is also an excellent leading indicator and the three-month annual rate here jumped to -31.0% from -35.7% the prior month and the cycle low of -37.5% in March. Temporary employment on the mend is also a sign that employers are likely done in terms of major cuts.

Other indicators of late also point to a trough in employment losses. The somewhat obscure Challenger employment report released this week showed that the annual rate of announced job cuts fell to the lowest since May 2008 – at 7.4% from 47.0% prior. This metric has done a great job of predicting the path of initial jobless claims in recent years, with a lead time of about three months. The relationship suggests we put in the peak for initial jobless claims in the month of March and could be on our way to a sharp correction in terms of the job shedding rate towards 400K by mid-summer (from a current initial jobless claims rate well above 600K). Another metric flashing a bottom is the employment trend index from the Conference Board. The index is composed of eight indicators that have historically led employment cycles. This number rose to a three-month annual run rate of -26.3% in April from -29.0% in March.

Should historical correlations of better US data leading to a higher US dollar return to the fore, we could be poised for a sharp reversal in the recent dollar weakness. Economic problems in Europe are at least as large, if not larger, than in the US while Canada tends to lag the states by roughly one-to-two quarters in terms of economic activity. In other words, long USD/CAD and short EUR/USD could be attractive places to be in the medium term.

(www.ecnpro.com – Gain Capital)

Kami belum ada gambaran utk E/J, tetapi biasanya E/J akan mengikuti pergerakan Euro/Usd , silahkan ditunggu analisanya utk hari ini

Please wait for Today Analysis ok 🙂
thank you

Kami tidak menyarankan untuk trade di hari ini, berbahaya loh

seperti di prediksi kami yaitu G/U skt 1.64 , 1.6450 boleh sell, tapi sekarang sudah turun skt 50 pips begitu menyentuh 1.64. Jika ingin entry lagi nanti sebaiknya tunggu berita jam 3:30 sore ya dan dilihat hasil reportnya bagaimana