Daily Forex Analysis and Predictions for Aug 6, 2009

yes, oleh karena itu kami selalu menekankan risk management 🙂

hati2, jangan pasang Buy dulu. lebih baik tunggu besok , karena beritanya tadi tidak bagus utk GBP dan tidak mendukung

ya begitulah efek berita

kami tadi pakai Robot Gainscope , dan profit

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee decided Thursday to inject an additional GBP50 billion in new money into the U.K. economy, despite signs that it has begun to grow after a year-long recession.

At the conclusion of their regular two-day meeting, the MPC’s nine members voted to leave the key bank rate at 0.5% for the sixth straight month, but to expand its bond-purchasing program. By the end of July, the bank had injected GBP125 billion in new money into the economy through a process known as quantitative easing.

The BOE launched its bond-buying program in March, and increased its size from GBP75 billion in May.

The size of the increase came as a surprise. Although the majority of economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires last week had expected the BOE to increase its bond buying, they had anticipated an expansion to GBP150 billion, which was the upper limit previously agreed with the government.

The MPC remains concerned about the state of the banking system, and unconvinced that any recovery will be strong enough to ensure the inflation rate remains at its 2.0% target without further stimulus.

“The need for banks to continue repairing their balance sheets is likely to restrict the availability of credit, and past falls in asset prices and high levels of debt may weigh on spending,” the MPC said in a statement.

The MPC said that even if output does begin to grow again, “the margin of spare capacity in the economy is likely to continue to grow for some while yet, bearing down on inflation in the medium term.”

In the days running up to the MPC’s decision, a series of data releases and surveys indicated that the economy is set to return to growth this quarter, with output in the services and manufacturing sectors on the increase and house prices having stabilized.

That led many investors to expect that the August meeting would mark the end of quantitative easing. Their response to the decision to expand the program was to sell sterling, which fell sharply, dropping by more than 0.8% to hit a low of $1.6833 against the dollar, while the euro jumped by nearly 1% against the pound to hit GBP0.8547.

Government bond prices rose on the promise of new demand from the BOE. September gilts spiked to as high as 120.00 on the news, from around 117.02 before the decision, as the bank also said it was widening the range of bonds available for purchase to include all conventional gilts with a minimum residual maturity of greater than three years. Previously, the BOE’s purchases were limited to bonds with maturities of between five and 25 years.

The BOE appears less optimistic about the economic outlook than many, but some economists share its concerns.

“Despite the recent improved data, the economy continues to face serious headwinds and sustainable recovery is still very far from certain,” said Howard Archer, an economist at Global insight. “Bank lending to businesses remains very weak and spreads on bank loans are elevated, which is a serious threat to recovery prospects.”

The BOE’s long-term intentions will only become clear Wednesday when it releases its quarterly Inflation Report, in which it will outline its new forecasts for growth and the inflation rate.

“This must have been a finely balanced decision,” said Richard Lambert, director general of the Confederation of British Industry and a former member of the MPC. “The economic outlook has brightened a little in recent weeks, which might have argued for a pause in QE. But the Monetary Policy Committee has been crunching the numbers for its quarterly Inflation Report, and must have concluded that a further policy stimulus was necessary. No doubt the governor will reveal all when the Inflation Report is published next week.”

sebaiknya jangan order lagi ya Pak, tunggu analisa besok.

Karena tadi berita GBP tidak mendukung

salam sukses ya

dan kalau sudah profit, jangan OP lagi ok

GainScope.com

EUR/USD adds some 10 ticks to 1.4384 after the ECB holds the main reference rate at 1% and leaves all other rates unchanged. Attention now turns to the 1230 GMT press conference, where President Trichet will likely be quizzed on the ECB’s covered bond buying package in light of the BOE’s surprise increase in its QE program Thursday

eur/usd masih tenang2 saja, tidak separah seperti G/U , karena GBP tadi beritanya jelek banget

Bagi yang sudah profit, sebaiknya jangan OP lagi. Tunggu analisa besok ya

dan waspada juga di berita jam 7:30 malam WIB nanti

Ok, salam sukses

GainScope.com

beritanya bagus utk US

untuk G/U naik lagi kelihatannya masih agak berat, karena belum ada berita yang mendukung lagi. Coba ditunggu besok ya

kalau saran kami, bila sudah risk 5% jangan ragu untuk di cut-loss ya. Kontrollah risk managementnya ya

salam sukses

Gainscope.com

harus kontrol risk managementnya Pak

jangan takut untuk cut loss, trading pasti ada loss dan win-nya. itu wajar

kami pribadi tadi menggunakan robot Gainscope, dan profit

kan sudah kami beritahukan sebelumnya, coba dicek di posting diatas2nya ini

dan juga risk taker setiap orang2 berbeda2, termasuk risk managementnya pula. Jadi tidak ada aturan baku harus pakai ini, harus pakai itu. Karena market itupun juga random, jadi bisa disesuaikan sendiri pula. Kami hanya memberikan saran second opinion saja

sudah dipost di halaman utama, silahkan dicek