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Forex for December 14, 2012. Prediction and Analysis
EUR/USD
(Last Price: 1.3074)
BUY, Entry = 1.3096, SL = 1.3056, TP = 1.3136
if wrong then SELL, Entry = 1.3056, SL = 1.3096, TP = 1.3016
GBP/USD
(Last Price: 1.6106)
SELL, Entry = 1.6093, SL = 1.6133, TP = 1.6053
if wrong then BUY, Entry = 1.6133, SL = 1.6093, TP = 1.6173
USD/JPY
(Last Price: 83.72)
BUY, Entry = 83.65, SL = 83.25, TP = 84.05
if wrong then SELL, Entry = 83.25, SL = 83.65, TP = 82.85
USD/CHF
(Last Price: 0.9242)
SELL, Entry = 0.9234, SL = 0.9274, TP = 0.9194
if wrong then BUY, Entry = 0.9274, SL = 0.9234, TP = 0.9314
AUD/USD
(Last Price: 1.0514)
SELL, Entry = 1.0515, SL = 1.0555, TP = 1.0475
if wrong then BUY, Entry = 1.0555, SL = 1.0515, TP = 1.0595
GOLD (XAU/USD)
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hATI-HATI!!!.
tETAP SEMANGAT!!!. hE HE HE . . .
coba sell di aud at price 1.0526 ambil 40 pip mudah2an kecantol
@alen, aud da bergerak turun mudah2an slamat sampai tujuan
F1 TRADING STRATEGY as Professional traders are always in the action. They ability to trade (and profit) during all market conditions !
Trader@nufa lampung, menanggapi pertanyaan anda pada posting 13 Desember 2012, 08.15 pm untuk membahas ulang tentang Pola Market. Berikut ini akan saya jelaskan secara garis besarnya saja. Dasar formulasi F1 Strategy mengacu pada pendapat tersebut dibawah ini :
It was first talked about by French mathematician Louis Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Bachelier (often referred to today as the “Einstein of Finance”) in his 1900 PhD thesis, the Theory of Speculation in which he said: “Random noise [i.e. counter-trending] is what defines the normal market behavior. There are only two other types of market movement that are outside of the zone of random noise: market spikes [i.e. breakouts] and trends.”
Selain itu berdasarkan fakta pergerakan harga pasar Average of 4 Majors : Trend: 34.2 %, Breakout: 10.8 %, Counter-Trend: 55 %. Saya memberi nama “F1 Trading Strategy” karena terinspirasi pada kegiatan Formula 1 Racing Team yang mana sangat memperhitungkan kondisi cuaca, kondisi circuit “disesuaikan” dengan BAN yang akan digunakan selama pertandingan berlangsung. Karena itu jangan heran jika FXDD menggunakan icon mobil balap F1 dan selalu menjadi sponsor Formula 1 Racing. Tanpa saya perlu mendefinisikan ulang apa itu Trend, BreakOut dan CounterTrend maka langsung saja pada contoh yang uptodate.
Buka Chart GBP/USD, TF H1 :
Pada GBP/USD tarik trend line dari bar 2012.12.10 07:00 ke 2012.12.12 07:00 dan 2012.12.13 01:00 (Major Trend Line)
NB : Trend Line minimal harus menyentuh 2 titik bar terluar.
Counter Trend 1 : bar 7 Dec (21:00) hingga 10 Dec (10:00), H 1.6024 dan L 1.6013
BreakOut 1 : bar 10 Dec (11:00 – 13:00)
Trend 1 : bar 10 Dec (16:00 – 22:00)
CounterTrend 2 : bar 10 Dec (22:00) hingga 11 Dec (10:00), H 1.6088 dan L 1.6068
BreakOut 2 : bar 11 Dec (11:00 – 17:00)
Trend 2 : bar 11 Dec (17:00 – 22:00)
CounterTrend 3 : bar 11 Dec (22:00) hingga 12 Dec (08:00), H 1.6119 dan L 1.6104
BreakOut 3 : bar 12 Dec (08:00 – 12:00)
Trend 3 : gagal !
BreaOut 4 : 12 Dec (17:00) H 1.6171 setelah itu kembali menyentuh ke Major Trend Line
BreaOut 5 : 13 Dec (08:00 – 11:00) pada level 1.6124 hingga 1.6110 setelah itu kembali menyentuh Major trend Line : Start SELL 13 Dec (14:00)
SELL tersebut didukung momentum yang tepat karena terjadi BreakOut 6 pada level 1.6110 hingga (17:00) L 1.6084
Konklusi : silahkan dihitung sendiri potensi returnnya dari pergerakan harga tersebut dengan menggunakan strategy trading sbb
Counter Trend : Sell High TP Low, Buy Low TP High
BreakOut : Scalping
Trend : XIT_FIBS + Momentum
CONTOH : Proyeksi harga kedepan yang mana forum ini sering menggunakan istilah “Prediksi”
EUR/USD :
Counter Trend : Sell @1.3096 SL 1.3130 TP 1.3055
GBP/USD :
Trend : Buy @ Now SL 1.6064 TP 1.6192
” Thanks God Its Friday” , Have a Nice Holiday
TRADE SAFELY and RESPECT OTHERS
@luky, Makasih Mas Luky atas penjelesannya mengenai jenis pergerakan pairs dan teknik F1 tradingnya. Adakah indikator yang bisa dijadikan acuan untuk indetifikasi counter trend?
Semoga Anda Sehat Selalu
duh kk… dah 2 hari kena terus nih.. minus buanyak.. ini jg foalting minus aussi.. ada jalan keluar? help help
@zol, AUD/USD?
TREND : BULLISH ….BY HEDGING,MARGIN LEVEL ALWAYS KEEP 🙂
XAU/USD
TREND: SIDEWAYS
XAG/USD
TREND: SIDEWAYS TO BEARISH
USD/JPY
TREND: BULLISH
USD/CHF
TREND: BEARISH